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Stocks Climb, Treasuries Drop as Georgia Votes

Stocks rose and bonds dropped amid important elections in Georgia that should choose which party controls the U.S. Senate for the following 2 years, setting the scope of President-elect Joe Biden’s agenda.

In a time marked by slim trading volume, the S&P 500 rebounded after suffering its worst start to a season after 2016. Energy shares surged as oil traded near fifty dolars a barrel, even though the Russell 2000 Index of smaller businesses jumped 1.7 %. With markets factoring in an even greater chance of a Democratic sweep in Congress, several analysts see the chance for heightened volatility. In anticipation to the final result of the Georgia vote, which will likely be identified on Wednesday, Treasury yields climbed — with an important curve measure reaching its steepest level in 4 years. The dollar slipped to the lowest since February 2018.

Whether or even not Wall Street is actually getting much more comfortable with the idea of Democrats taking control of both chambers of Congress, the scenario seems to indicate the possibility of a more generous stimulus program. That might likely lead to upward pressure on inflation as well as rates as well as higher taxes to pay for fiscal tool. Conversely, should often Republican incumbent win re election, the party would have enough votes to block some Biden initiative.

We don’t view a Democrat Senate as a bearish game changer in the short term because there would still be a lot of positives in this market, Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader who founded The Sevens Report newsletter, wrote to a note to clients. We’d look to purchase on virtually any material dip, although we need to brace for more volatility going ahead when that’s the result from today’s election.

Meanwhile, President Donald Trump failed once again to invalidate his election loss of Georgia and allow the state’s Republican led legislature to declare him the winner — his latest courtroom defeat in a quixotic effort to stay in office despite losing the Nov. 3 vote.

Another news growth that caught investors interest was the brand new York Stock Exchange’s surprise decision to spare three major Chinese telecommunications companies from being delisted. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin called NYSE Group Inc. President Stacey Cunningham to express the disapproval of his, in accordance with 2 individuals familiar with the issue. Several U.S. officials said the move marks a short-term reprieve, not really an indicator that tensions between Beijing and Washington are easing.

Elsewhere, Saudi Arabia surprised the oil market with a major decrease in the output of its for March and February, carrying a much better burden of OPEC cuts while other makers hold steady or even make little increases.

What to watch this week:

U.S. Congress meets to count electoral votes and declare the winner of the 2020 Presidential election Wednesday.
FOMC mins out Wednesday.
U.S. unemployment report for December is actually due Friday.
These’re some of the main movements in markets:

Stocks
The S&P 500 Index rose 0.7 % as of 4 p.m. New York time.
The Stoxx Europe 600 Index declined 0.2 %.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 1.1 %.

Currencies
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index sank 0.5 %.
The euro gained 0.4 % to $1.2291.
The Japanese yen appreciated 0.4 % to 102.74 a dollar.

Bonds
The yield on 10 year Treasuries rose four basis points to 0.95 %.
Germany’s 10-year yield jumped 3 basis points to -0.58 %.
Britain’s 10-year yield climbed four basis points to 0.209 %.

Commodities
West Texas Intermediate crude surged 4.9 % to $49.93 a barrel.
Gold rose 0.3 % to $1,948.17 an ounce.

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